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12d 15:53:02
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PitchMind
LUT
37%
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Community
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PitchMind lean: LUT (37%)
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Prediction Room
Sat 22 Aug, 12:30
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Match contextStandings, model call, H2H, formHide
League table
EFL League One · 2025/2026
Luton 7th · 74 pts
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln | 46 | +48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | +40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | +13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford | 46 | +7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | +18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | +3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | +12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | +12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | +10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town | 46 | +12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | +11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | +4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion | 46 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City | 46 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | -35 | 35 |
PitchMind call
Fair · 57%Why this lean — without exposing model weights
LUT
2
Expected goals
NOT
1
- This one looks close — our top prediction is only 37%, so treat it as uncertain.
- Our different checks mostly point the same way.
- Mixed picture — recent form: Luton; team strength: Notts County; likely scorelines: Notts County.
- The teams have drawn 3 of their last 5 meetings.
Head to head
Last 6 meetings between these sides
Wins
1
17%
Draws
3
50%
Wins
2
33%
Avg goals
2.0
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
33%
- D
05 May 2018 · EFL League Two
Notts County0-0Luton - D
09 Dec 2017 · EFL League Two
Luton1-1Notts County - W
22 Apr 2017 · EFL League Two
Luton2-1Notts County - D
29 Oct 2016 · EFL League Two
Notts County0-0Luton - L
30 Jan 2016 · EFL League Two
Luton0-2Notts County - L
12 Sept 2015 · EFL League Two
Notts County3-2Luton
Recent form
Last 7 finished matches · form % = points taken ÷ max points (3 pts per game)
Luton
Last 7 finished · 2nd form
42.9%
Form
- D
18 Apr · EFL League One · A
vs Mansfield Town 2-2
- D
06 Dec · FA Cup · A
vs Fleetwood Town 2-2
- W
31 Oct · FA Cup · H
vs Forest Green 4-3
- L
18 Oct · EFL League One · H
vs Mansfield Town 0-2
- L
11 Jan · FA Cup · A
vs Nottingham Forest 2-0
- D
05 May · EFL League Two · A
vs Notts County 0-0
- W
02 Apr · EFL League Two · H
vs Mansfield Town 2-1
Notts County
Last 7 finished · 1st form
52.4%
Form
- W
25 May · EFL League Two · H
vs Salford City 3-0
- D
15 May · EFL League Two · H
vs Chesterfield 0-0
- W
10 May · EFL League Two · A
vs Chesterfield 0-1
- D
02 May · EFL League Two · H
vs Bristol Rovers 1-1
- W
25 Apr · EFL League Two · A
vs Colchester 0-1
- L
18 Apr · EFL League Two · H
vs Barnet 1-2
- L
11 Apr · EFL League Two · A
vs Cambridge United 4-0
Lineups: Awaiting lineups. Injuries and deeper markets live on the full match page.