6d 23:22:05
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6d 23:22:05
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PitchMind
ATL
47%
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Community
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PitchMind
Community
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PitchMind lean: ATL (47%)
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Sun 16 Aug, 20:00
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Match contextStandings, model call, H2H, formHide
League table
Brazil Serie A · 2026/2027
Atletico-MG 10th · 29 pts · Gremio 14th · 25 pts
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 21 | +22 | 47 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 20 | +19 | 39 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 21 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 22 | +5 | 35 |
| 5 | Bahia | 21 | +4 | 32 |
| 6 | RB Bragantino | 20 | +6 | 31 |
| 7 | Botafogo | 21 | +2 | 30 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 22 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Cruzeiro | 21 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 21 | 0 | 29 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 21 | +2 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 21 | +1 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 21 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio | 21 | -3 | 25 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 20 | -4 | 23 |
| 16 | Santos | 20 | -4 | 22 |
| 17 | Internacional | 21 | -4 | 22 |
| 18 | Remo | 22 | -10 | 22 |
| 19 | Vasco DA Gama | 20 | -8 | 21 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 21 | -23 | 10 |
PitchMind call
Strong · 73%Why this lean — without exposing model weights
ATL
1
Expected goals
GRE
1
- This one looks close — our top prediction is only 47%, so treat it as uncertain.
- Our different checks mostly point the same way.
- We have solid info for this match.
- recent form, team strength, likely scorelines all point the same way.
Likely goalscorers
- M. Cassierra21%
- Willian20%
- T. Borbas15%
- A. Minda15%
- Caua15%
Head to head
Last 7 meetings between these sides
Wins
3
43%
Draws
0
0%
Wins
4
57%
Avg goals
3.4
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
80%
- L
26 Feb 2026 · Brazil Serie A
Gremio2-1Atletico-MG - L
17 Aug 2025 · Brazil Serie A
Atletico-MG1-3Gremio - L
29 Mar 2025 · Brazil Serie A
Gremio2-1Atletico-MG - W
09 Oct 2024 · Brazil Serie A
Atletico-MG2-1Gremio - W
01 Sept 2024 · Brazil Serie A
Gremio2-3Atletico-MG - W
26 Nov 2023 · Brazil Serie A
Atletico-MG3-0Gremio - L
23 Jul 2023 · Brazil Serie A
Gremio1-0Atletico-MG
Recent form
Last 7 finished matches · form % = points taken ÷ max points (3 pts per game)
Atletico-MG
Last 7 finished · 1st form
57.1%
Form
- D
08 Aug · Brazil Serie A · A
vs Remo 2-2
- W
26 Jul · Brazil Serie A · A
vs Palmeiras 1-2
- D
21 Jul · Brazil Serie A · H
vs Bahia 1-1
- W
31 May · Brazil Serie A · A
vs Vasco DA Gama 0-1
- L
24 May · Brazil Serie A · A
vs Corinthians 1-0
- W
16 May · Brazil Serie A · H
vs Mirassol 3-1
- D
10 May · Brazil Serie A · H
vs Botafogo 1-1
Gremio
Last 7 finished · 2nd form
38.1%
Form
- W
08 Aug · Brazil Serie A · H
vs Sao Paulo 2-1
- D
26 Jul · Brazil Serie A · H
vs Fluminense 1-1
- L
18 Jul · Brazil Serie A · A
vs Mirassol 2-1
- L
30 May · Brazil Serie A · H
vs Corinthians 1-3
- W
23 May · Brazil Serie A · H
vs Santos 3-2
- D
17 May · Brazil Serie A · A
vs Bahia 1-1
- L
10 May · Brazil Serie A · H
vs Flamengo 0-1
Lineups: Awaiting lineups. Injuries and deeper markets live on the full match page.