5d 18:24:00
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5d 18:24:00
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PitchMind
DER
43%
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Community
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PitchMind vs community
Live lean from the model and from fans in this room
PitchMind
Community
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PitchMind lean: DER (43%)
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Match contextStandings, model call, H2H, formHide
League table
EFL Championship · 2024/2025
Derby 19th · 50 pts
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leeds | 46 | +65 | 100 |
| 2 | Burnley | 46 | +53 | 100 |
| 3 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | +27 | 90 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 46 | +14 | 76 |
| 5 | Coventry | 46 | +6 | 69 |
| 6 | Bristol City | 46 | +4 | 68 |
| 7 | Blackburn | 46 | +5 | 66 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | -2 | 66 |
| 9 | West Brom | 46 | +10 | 64 |
| 10 | Middlesbrough | 46 | +8 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | -5 | 61 |
| 12 | Sheffield Wednesday | 46 | -9 | 58 |
| 13 | Norwich | 46 | +3 | 57 |
| 14 | Watford | 46 | -8 | 57 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | -10 | 56 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 46 | -13 | 54 |
| 17 | Oxford United | 46 | -16 | 53 |
| 18 | Stoke City | 46 | -17 | 51 |
| 19 | Derby | 46 | -8 | 50 |
| 20 | Preston | 46 | -11 | 50 |
| 21 | Hull City | 46 | -10 | 49 |
| 22 | Luton | 46 | -24 | 49 |
| 23 | Plymouth | 46 | -37 | 46 |
| 24 | Cardiff | 46 | -25 | 44 |
PitchMind call
Fair · 68%Why this lean — without exposing model weights
CHA
1
Expected goals
DER
1
- This one looks close — our top prediction is only 43%, so treat it as uncertain.
- Our different checks mostly point the same way.
- We have solid info for this match.
- recent form, team strength, likely scorelines all point the same way.
Head to head
Last 7 meetings between these sides
Wins
2
29%
Draws
1
14%
Wins
4
57%
Avg goals
2.1
BTTS
57%
Over 2.5
43%
- L
20 Jan 2026 · EFL Championship
Charlton1-2Derby - D
30 Sept 2025 · EFL Championship
Derby1-1Charlton - W
27 Feb 2024 · EFL League One
Derby1-2Charlton - L
03 Feb 2024 · EFL League One
Charlton0-1Derby - L
18 Feb 2023 · EFL League One
Derby2-0Charlton - W
06 Aug 2022 · EFL League One
Charlton1-0Derby - L
30 Dec 2019 · EFL Championship
Derby2-1Charlton
Recent form
Last 7 finished matches · form % = points taken ÷ max points (3 pts per game)
Charlton
Last 7 finished · 2nd form
23.8%
Form
- L
02 May · EFL Championship · A
vs Swansea 3-1
- W
25 Apr · EFL Championship · H
vs Hull City 2-1
- L
22 Apr · EFL Championship · H
vs Ipswich 1-2
- D
18 Apr · EFL Championship · A
vs Sheffield Wednesday 1-1
- L
11 Apr · EFL Championship · H
vs Preston 1-2
- D
06 Apr · EFL Championship · A
vs Watford 1-1
- L
03 Apr · EFL Championship · H
vs Bristol City 1-2
Derby
Last 7 finished · 1st form
42.9%
Form
- L
02 May · EFL Championship · H
vs Sheffield Utd 1-2
- W
25 Apr · EFL Championship · A
vs QPR 2-3
- L
21 Apr · EFL Championship · A
vs Norwich 2-1
- W
18 Apr · EFL Championship · H
vs Oxford United 1-0
- L
11 Apr · EFL Championship · A
vs Southampton 2-1
- W
06 Apr · EFL Championship · H
vs Stoke City 2-0
- L
03 Apr · EFL Championship · A
vs Coventry 3-2
Lineups: Awaiting lineups. Injuries and deeper markets live on the full match page.