5d 18:53:11
Prediction Room
5d 18:53:11
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PitchMind
Alv
48%
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Community
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PitchMind vs community
Live lean from the model and from fans in this room
PitchMind
Community
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PitchMind lean: Alv (48%)
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Prediction Room
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Match contextStandings, model call, H2H, formHide
League table
Primeira Liga · 2026/2027
Estrela 5th · 1 pts · Alverca 18th · 0 pts
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 2 | Arouca | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Estrela | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Guimaraes | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | GIL Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | SC Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Academico Viseu | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
PitchMind call
Strong · 70%Why this lean — without exposing model weights
Alv
1
Expected goals
Est
1
- This one looks close — our top prediction is only 48%, so treat it as uncertain.
- Our different checks mostly point the same way.
- We have solid info for this match.
- recent form, team strength, likely scorelines all point the same way.
Likely goalscorers
- Zoubdi20%
- Rodrigo Pinho20%
- Chiquinho14%
- M. Essimi Ateba14%
- C. Nuozzi14%
Head to head
Last 2 meetings between these sides
Wins
0
0%
Draws
2
100%
Wins
0
0%
Avg goals
3.0
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
50%
- D
31 Jan 2026 · Primeira Liga
Alverca1-1Estrela - D
25 Aug 2025 · Primeira Liga
Estrela2-2Alverca
Recent form
Last 7 finished matches · form % = points taken ÷ max points (3 pts per game)
Alverca
Last 7 finished · 1st form
33.3%
Form
- L
09 Aug · Primeira Liga · A
vs FC Porto 2-0
- L
16 May · Primeira Liga · A
vs Famalicao 1-0
- D
10 May · Primeira Liga · H
vs Estoril 1-1
- L
02 May · Primeira Liga · A
vs FC Porto 1-0
- W
24 Apr · Primeira Liga · H
vs Arouca 2-1
- L
18 Apr · Primeira Liga · A
vs Nacional 1-0
- W
12 Apr · Primeira Liga · H
vs Casa Pia 3-1
Estrela
Last 7 finished · 2nd form
14.3%
Form
- D
08 Aug · Primeira Liga · H
vs Sporting CP 2-2
- D
16 May · Primeira Liga · A
vs SC Braga 2-2
- D
11 May · Primeira Liga · H
vs Famalicao 0-0
- L
02 May · Primeira Liga · A
vs Moreirense 3-2
- L
26 Apr · Primeira Liga · H
vs FC Porto 1-2
- L
19 Apr · Primeira Liga · A
vs Arouca 1-0
- L
11 Apr · Primeira Liga · H
vs Sporting CP 0-1
Lineups: Awaiting lineups. Injuries and deeper markets live on the full match page.