13d 19:53:52
Prediction Room
13d 19:53:52
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PitchMind
LIV
40%
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Community
—
PitchMind vs community
Live lean from the model and from fans in this room
PitchMind
Community
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PitchMind lean: LIV (40%)
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Match contextStandings, model call, H2H, formHide
League table
Premier League · 2025/2026
Liverpool 5th · 60 pts · Newcastle 12th · 49 pts
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | +42 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | +19 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | +7 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | +10 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | -6 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | +6 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | +3 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | +6 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 38 | -2 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | -3 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | -3 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | -9 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | -37 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | -41 | 20 |
PitchMind call
Fair · 69%Why this lean — without exposing model weights
NEW
2
Expected goals
LIV
2
- This one looks close — our top prediction is only 40%, so treat it as uncertain.
- Our different checks mostly point the same way.
- We have solid info for this match.
- Mixed picture — recent form: Liverpool; team strength: Newcastle; likely scorelines: Liverpool.
Head to head
Last 7 meetings between these sides
Wins
1
14%
Draws
1
14%
Wins
5
71%
Avg goals
3.6
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
70%
- L
31 Jan 2026 · Premier League
Liverpool4-1Newcastle - L
25 Aug 2025 · Premier League
Newcastle2-3Liverpool - W
16 Mar 2025 · League Cup
Liverpool1-2Newcastle - L
26 Feb 2025 · Premier League
Liverpool2-0Newcastle - D
04 Dec 2024 · Premier League
Newcastle3-3Liverpool - L
01 Jan 2024 · Premier League
Liverpool4-2Newcastle - L
27 Aug 2023 · Premier League
Newcastle1-2Liverpool
Recent form
Last 7 finished matches · form % = points taken ÷ max points (3 pts per game)
Newcastle
Last 7 finished · 2nd form
33.3%
Form
- L
24 May · Premier League · A
vs Fulham 2-0
- W
17 May · Premier League · H
vs West Ham 3-1
- D
10 May · Premier League · A
vs Nottingham Forest 1-1
- W
02 May · Premier League · H
vs Brighton 3-1
- L
25 Apr · Premier League · A
vs Arsenal 1-0
- L
18 Apr · Premier League · H
vs Bournemouth 1-2
- L
12 Apr · Premier League · A
vs Crystal Palace 2-1
Liverpool
Last 7 finished · 1st form
38.1%
Form
- D
24 May · Premier League · H
vs Brentford 1-1
- L
15 May · Premier League · A
vs Aston Villa 4-2
- D
09 May · Premier League · H
vs Chelsea 1-1
- L
03 May · Premier League · A
vs Manchester United 3-2
- W
25 Apr · Premier League · H
vs Crystal Palace 3-1
- W
19 Apr · Premier League · A
vs Everton 1-2
- L
14 Apr · UEFA Champions League · H
vs Paris Saint Germain 0-2
Lineups: Awaiting lineups. Injuries and deeper markets live on the full match page.