5d 18:23:54
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5d 18:23:54
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PitchMind
SWA
42%
You
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Community
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PitchMind vs community
Live lean from the model and from fans in this room
PitchMind
Community
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PitchMind lean: SWA (42%)
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Match contextStandings, model call, H2H, formHide
League table
EFL Championship · 2024/2025
Swansea 11th · 61 pts · Stoke City 18th · 51 pts
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leeds | 46 | +65 | 100 |
| 2 | Burnley | 46 | +53 | 100 |
| 3 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | +27 | 90 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 46 | +14 | 76 |
| 5 | Coventry | 46 | +6 | 69 |
| 6 | Bristol City | 46 | +4 | 68 |
| 7 | Blackburn | 46 | +5 | 66 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | -2 | 66 |
| 9 | West Brom | 46 | +10 | 64 |
| 10 | Middlesbrough | 46 | +8 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | -5 | 61 |
| 12 | Sheffield Wednesday | 46 | -9 | 58 |
| 13 | Norwich | 46 | +3 | 57 |
| 14 | Watford | 46 | -8 | 57 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | -10 | 56 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 46 | -13 | 54 |
| 17 | Oxford United | 46 | -16 | 53 |
| 18 | Stoke City | 46 | -17 | 51 |
| 19 | Derby | 46 | -8 | 50 |
| 20 | Preston | 46 | -11 | 50 |
| 21 | Hull City | 46 | -10 | 49 |
| 22 | Luton | 46 | -24 | 49 |
| 23 | Plymouth | 46 | -37 | 46 |
| 24 | Cardiff | 46 | -25 | 44 |
PitchMind call
Fair · 68%Why this lean — without exposing model weights
STO
1
Expected goals
SWA
1
- This one looks close — our top prediction is only 42%, so treat it as uncertain.
- Our different checks mostly point the same way.
- We have solid info for this match.
- recent form, team strength, likely scorelines all point the same way.
Head to head
Last 7 meetings between these sides
Wins
3
43%
Draws
2
29%
Wins
2
29%
Avg goals
2.6
BTTS
57%
Over 2.5
57%
- L
07 Mar 2026 · EFL Championship
Swansea2-0Stoke City - W
13 Dec 2025 · EFL Championship
Stoke City2-1Swansea - W
15 Feb 2025 · EFL Championship
Stoke City3-1Swansea - D
05 Oct 2024 · EFL Championship
Swansea0-0Stoke City - L
10 Apr 2024 · EFL Championship
Swansea3-0Stoke City - D
12 Dec 2023 · EFL Championship
Stoke City1-1Swansea - W
21 Feb 2023 · EFL Championship
Swansea1-3Stoke City
Recent form
Last 7 finished matches · form % = points taken ÷ max points (3 pts per game)
Stoke City
Last 7 finished · 2nd form
19%
Form
- L
02 May · EFL Championship · A
vs Bristol City 2-0
- L
25 Apr · EFL Championship · H
vs Portsmouth 1-3
- L
21 Apr · EFL Championship · H
vs Millwall 1-3
- L
18 Apr · EFL Championship · A
vs Wrexham 2-0
- D
11 Apr · EFL Championship · H
vs Blackburn 1-1
- L
06 Apr · EFL Championship · A
vs Derby 2-0
- W
03 Apr · EFL Championship · H
vs Sheffield Wednesday 2-0
Swansea
Last 7 finished · 1st form
57.1%
Form
- W
02 May · EFL Championship · H
vs Charlton 3-1
- D
25 Apr · EFL Championship · A
vs Norwich 1-1
- W
21 Apr · EFL Championship · A
vs QPR 1-2
- L
18 Apr · EFL Championship · H
vs Southampton 1-2
- W
11 Apr · EFL Championship · A
vs Leicester 0-1
- D
06 Apr · EFL Championship · H
vs Middlesbrough 2-2
- D
03 Apr · EFL Championship · A
vs Sheffield Utd 3-3
Lineups: Awaiting lineups. Injuries and deeper markets live on the full match page.