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13d 15:17:07
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PitchMind
WES
43%
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Community
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Live lean from the model and from fans in this room
PitchMind
Community
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PitchMind lean: WES (43%)
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Prediction Room
Sun 23 Aug, 12:00
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Match contextStandings, model call, H2H, formHide
League table
EFL Championship · 2024/2025
Burnley 2nd · 100 pts · West Brom 9th · 64 pts
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leeds | 46 | +65 | 100 |
| 2 | Burnley | 46 | +53 | 100 |
| 3 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | +27 | 90 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 46 | +14 | 76 |
| 5 | Coventry | 46 | +6 | 69 |
| 6 | Bristol City | 46 | +4 | 68 |
| 7 | Blackburn | 46 | +5 | 66 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | -2 | 66 |
| 9 | West Brom | 46 | +10 | 64 |
| 10 | Middlesbrough | 46 | +8 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | -5 | 61 |
| 12 | Sheffield Wednesday | 46 | -9 | 58 |
| 13 | Norwich | 46 | +3 | 57 |
| 14 | Watford | 46 | -8 | 57 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | -10 | 56 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 46 | -13 | 54 |
| 17 | Oxford United | 46 | -16 | 53 |
| 18 | Stoke City | 46 | -17 | 51 |
| 19 | Derby | 46 | -8 | 50 |
| 20 | Preston | 46 | -11 | 50 |
| 21 | Hull City | 46 | -10 | 49 |
| 22 | Luton | 46 | -24 | 49 |
| 23 | Plymouth | 46 | -37 | 46 |
| 24 | Cardiff | 46 | -25 | 44 |
PitchMind call
Fair · 61%Why this lean — without exposing model weights
WES
1
Expected goals
BUR
1
- This one looks close — our top prediction is only 43%, so treat it as uncertain.
- Our different checks mostly point the same way.
- recent form, team strength, likely scorelines all point the same way.
- The teams have drawn 4 of their last 5 meetings.
Head to head
Last 7 meetings between these sides
Wins
0
0%
Draws
5
71%
Wins
2
29%
Avg goals
1.9
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
40%
- D
11 Mar 2025 · EFL Championship
Burnley1-1West Brom - D
07 Nov 2024 · EFL Championship
West Brom0-0Burnley - L
20 Jan 2023 · EFL Championship
Burnley2-1West Brom - D
02 Sept 2022 · EFL Championship
West Brom1-1Burnley - D
20 Feb 2021 · Premier League
Burnley0-0West Brom - D
19 Oct 2020 · Premier League
West Brom0-0Burnley - L
31 Mar 2018 · Premier League
West Brom1-2Burnley
Recent form
Last 7 finished matches · form % = points taken ÷ max points (3 pts per game)
West Brom
Last 7 finished · 1st form
47.6%
Form
- L
02 May · EFL Championship · A
vs Sheffield Wednesday 2-1
- D
25 Apr · EFL Championship · H
vs Ipswich 0-0
- W
21 Apr · EFL Championship · H
vs Watford 3-0
- W
18 Apr · EFL Championship · A
vs Preston 0-2
- D
10 Apr · EFL Championship · H
vs Millwall 0-0
- D
06 Apr · EFL Championship · A
vs Blackburn 0-0
- D
03 Apr · EFL Championship · H
vs Wrexham 2-2
Burnley
Last 7 finished · 2nd form
9.5%
Form
- D
24 May · Premier League · H
vs Wolves 1-1
- L
18 May · Premier League · A
vs Arsenal 1-0
- D
10 May · Premier League · H
vs Aston Villa 2-2
- L
01 May · Premier League · A
vs Leeds 3-1
- L
22 Apr · Premier League · H
vs Manchester City 0-1
- L
19 Apr · Premier League · A
vs Nottingham Forest 4-1
- L
11 Apr · Premier League · H
vs Brighton 0-2
Lineups: Awaiting lineups. Injuries and deeper markets live on the full match page.