13d 18:49:14
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13d 18:49:14
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PitchMind
ATM
47%
You
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Community
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PitchMind vs community
Live lean from the model and from fans in this room
PitchMind
Community
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PitchMind lean: ATM (47%)
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Match contextStandings, model call, H2H, formHide
League table
La Liga · 2025/2026
Villarreal 3rd · 72 pts · Atletico Madrid 4th · 69 pts
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | +42 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | +26 | 72 |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | +18 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | +5 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -3 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | -2 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | -15 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | -14 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | -10 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 38 | -34 | 29 |
PitchMind call
Fair · 70%Why this lean — without exposing model weights
ATM
2
Expected goals
VIL
1
- This one looks close — our top prediction is only 47%, so treat it as uncertain.
- Our different checks mostly point the same way.
- We have solid info for this match.
- recent form, team strength, likely scorelines all point the same way.
Head to head
Last 7 meetings between these sides
Wins
3
43%
Draws
3
43%
Wins
1
14%
Avg goals
3.6
BTTS
86%
Over 2.5
71%
- L
24 May 2026 · La Liga
Villarreal5-1Atletico Madrid - W
13 Sept 2025 · La Liga
Atletico Madrid2-0Villarreal - D
25 Jan 2025 · La Liga
Atletico Madrid1-1Villarreal - D
19 Aug 2024 · La Liga
Villarreal2-2Atletico Madrid - W
01 Apr 2024 · La Liga
Villarreal1-2Atletico Madrid - W
12 Nov 2023 · La Liga
Atletico Madrid3-1Villarreal - D
04 Jun 2023 · La Liga
Villarreal2-2Atletico Madrid
Recent form
Last 7 finished matches · form % = points taken ÷ max points (3 pts per game)
Atletico Madrid
Last 7 finished · 2nd form
47.6%
Form
- L
24 May · La Liga · A
vs Villarreal 5-1
- W
17 May · La Liga · H
vs Girona 1-0
- W
12 May · La Liga · A
vs Osasuna 1-2
- L
09 May · La Liga · H
vs Celta Vigo 0-1
- L
05 May · UEFA Champions League · A
vs Arsenal 1-0
- W
02 May · La Liga · A
vs Valencia 0-2
- D
29 Apr · UEFA Champions League · H
vs Arsenal 1-1
Villarreal
Last 7 finished · 1st form
52.4%
Form
- W
24 May · La Liga · H
vs Atletico Madrid 5-1
- L
17 May · La Liga · A
vs Rayo Vallecano 2-0
- L
13 May · La Liga · H
vs Sevilla 2-3
- D
10 May · La Liga · A
vs Mallorca 1-1
- W
02 May · La Liga · H
vs Levante 5-1
- W
26 Apr · La Liga · H
vs Celta Vigo 2-1
- D
23 Apr · La Liga · A
vs Oviedo 1-1
Lineups: Awaiting lineups. Injuries and deeper markets live on the full match page.