5d 21:03:44
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5d 21:03:44
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PitchMind
UTR
38%
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Live lean from the model and from fans in this room
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Community
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PitchMind lean: UTR (38%)
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Prediction Room
Sat 15 Aug, 17:45
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Match contextStandings, model call, H2H, formHide
League table
Eredivisie · 2026/2027
AZ Alkmaar 3rd · 3 pts · Utrecht 12th · 0 pts
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 | GO Ahead Eagles | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | Telstar | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 | Fortuna Sittard | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | PEC Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 1 | -4 | 0 |
PitchMind call
Fair · 68%Why this lean — without exposing model weights
UTR
1
Expected goals
ALK
1
- This one looks close — our top prediction is only 38%, so treat it as uncertain.
- Our different checks mostly point the same way.
- We have solid info for this match.
- Mixed picture — recent form: draw; team strength: Utrecht; likely scorelines: Utrecht.
Likely goalscorers
- D. Min21%
- Weslley Patati20%
- Y. Cathline14%
- Bjorn Menzo14%
- E. C. Owen14%
Head to head
Last 7 meetings between these sides
Wins
3
43%
Draws
3
43%
Wins
1
14%
Avg goals
3.8
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
70%
- W
01 Mar 2026 · Eredivisie
Utrecht2-0AZ Alkmaar - L
26 Oct 2025 · Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar4-1Utrecht - D
18 Jan 2025 · Eredivisie
Utrecht0-0AZ Alkmaar - W
29 Sept 2024 · Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar1-2Utrecht - D
19 May 2024 · Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar3-3Utrecht - D
03 Dec 2023 · Eredivisie
Utrecht1-1AZ Alkmaar - W
07 Feb 2023 · League 90
AZ Alkmaar1-2Utrecht
Recent form
Last 7 finished matches · form % = points taken ÷ max points (3 pts per game)
Utrecht
Last 7 finished · 1st form
76.2%
Form
- D
24 May · Eredivisie · A
vs Ajax 0-0
- W
21 May · Eredivisie · H
vs Heerenveen 3-2
- W
17 May · Eredivisie · H
vs Fortuna Sittard 2-0
- W
10 May · Eredivisie · A
vs Ajax 1-2
- W
02 May · Eredivisie · H
vs NAC Breda 2-0
- L
26 Apr · Eredivisie · A
vs Excelsior 5-0
- W
11 Apr · Eredivisie · H
vs Telstar 4-1
AZ Alkmaar
Last 7 finished · 2nd form
52.4%
Form
- W
08 Aug · Eredivisie · H
vs ADO Den Haag 2-0
- D
17 May · Eredivisie · H
vs NAC Breda 3-3
- D
10 May · Eredivisie · A
vs Feyenoord 1-1
- D
03 May · Eredivisie · H
vs Twente 2-2
- D
23 Apr · Eredivisie · A
vs GO Ahead Eagles 0-0
- D
16 Apr · UEFA Europa Conference League · H
vs Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2
- W
12 Apr · Eredivisie · H
vs Heerenveen 3-0
Lineups: Awaiting lineups. Injuries and deeper markets live on the full match page.