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Premier League· Sun 23 Aug, 14:00Room open

Prediction Room

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13d 17:18:02

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PitchMind vs you vs community

Model, crowd, and your pick — settlement when scored

  • PitchMind

    AST

    39%

  • You

    No pick yet

  • Community

PitchMind vs community

Live lean from the model and from fans in this room

PitchMind

BRI32%
Draw29.4%
AST38.6%

Community

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PitchMind lean: AST (39%)

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Match timeline updates appear here from live football data — goals, cards, lineups, and result markers.

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Prediction Room

Sun 23 Aug, 14:00

BRI
vs
AST
You
No pick yet
PitchMind
AST

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Match contextStandings, model call, H2H, form

League table

Premier League · 2025/2026

Aston Villa 4th · 65 pts · Brighton 8th · 53 pts

#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal38+4485
2Manchester City38+4278
3Manchester United38+1971
4Aston Villa38+765
5Liverpool38+1060
6Bournemouth38+457
7Sunderland38-654
8Brighton38+653
9Brentford38+353
10Chelsea38+652
11Fulham38-452
12Newcastle38-249
13Everton38-349
14Leeds38-747
15Crystal Palace38-1045
16Nottingham Forest38-344
17Tottenham38-941
18West Ham38-1939
19Burnley38-3722
20Wolves38-4120

PitchMind call

Fair · 68%

Why this lean — without exposing model weights

Home 32%Draw 29%Away 39%Most likely 1–1

BRI

1

Expected goals

AST

1

  • This one looks close — our top prediction is only 39%, so treat it as uncertain.
  • Our different checks mostly point the same way.
  • We have solid info for this match.
  • Mixed picture — recent form: Aston Villa; team strength: Aston Villa; likely scorelines: Brighton.
Open full match markets

Head to head

Last 7 meetings between these sides

Brighton
H2H
Aston Villa

Wins

1

14%

Draws

1

14%

Wins

5

71%

Avg goals

3.7

BTTS

57%

Over 2.5

71%

  • 11 Feb 2026 · Premier League

    Aston Villa1-0Brighton
    L
  • 03 Dec 2025 · Premier League

    Brighton3-4Aston Villa
    L
  • 02 Apr 2025 · Premier League

    Brighton0-3Aston Villa
    L
  • 30 Dec 2024 · Premier League

    Aston Villa2-2Brighton
    D
  • 05 May 2024 · Premier League

    Brighton1-0Aston Villa
    W
  • 30 Sept 2023 · Premier League

    Aston Villa6-1Brighton
    L
  • 28 May 2023 · Premier League

    Aston Villa2-1Brighton
    L

Recent form

Last 7 finished matches · form % = points taken ÷ max points (3 pts per game)

Brighton

Last 7 finished · 2nd form

47.6%

Form

LLWLWDW
  • 24 May · Premier League · H

    vs Manchester United 0-3

    L
  • 17 May · Premier League · A

    vs Leeds 1-0

    L
  • 09 May · Premier League · H

    vs Wolves 3-0

    W
  • 02 May · Premier League · A

    vs Newcastle 3-1

    L
  • 21 Apr · Premier League · H

    vs Chelsea 3-0

    W
  • 18 Apr · Premier League · A

    vs Tottenham 2-2

    D
  • 11 Apr · Premier League · A

    vs Burnley 0-2

    W

Aston Villa

Last 7 finished · 1st form

61.9%

Form

WWWDWLL
  • 24 May · Premier League · A

    vs Manchester City 1-2

    W
  • 20 May · UEFA Europa League · A

    vs SC Freiburg 0-3

    W
  • 15 May · Premier League · H

    vs Liverpool 4-2

    W
  • 10 May · Premier League · A

    vs Burnley 2-2

    D
  • 07 May · UEFA Europa League · H

    vs Nottingham Forest 4-0

    W
  • 03 May · Premier League · H

    vs Tottenham 1-2

    L
  • 30 Apr · UEFA Europa League · A

    vs Nottingham Forest 1-0

    L

Lineups: Awaiting lineups. Injuries and deeper markets live on the full match page.